Olivier-Maxence Prosper Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Feb 13, 2025

Updated Feb 14, 2025 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Olivier-Maxence Prosper Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Olivier-Maxence Prosper ranks in the 9th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a lowly 0.6 fouls per game this year.
The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a positive one for threes; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a monstrous 43.8% of their 3-point attempts (100th percentile).
Olivier-Maxence Prosper has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 29.1% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Olivier-Maxence Prosper will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Olivier-Maxence Prosper has successfully made 16.0% of his attempts from downtown this year, placing him in the 10th percentile among all players in the league.
Olivier-Maxence Prosper has averaged 10.1 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the league: 17th percentile.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Mavericks.
The Mavericks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).