OG Anunoby Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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NBA · Player Props

OG Anunoby

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:45 AM EST

Analysis

OG Anunoby Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

O.G. Anunoby has converted a terrific 46.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, quite a bit higher than his 42.8 mark last year.
Compared to last year's 5.5 rate, O.G. Anunoby's three-point attempts have spiked this year to 6.6 per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, O.G. Anunoby rates in the 81st percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 31.2 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one for scoring; when the Atlanta Hawks are away from home, opposing starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (54.6%).
The Toronto Raptors will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 3rd-speediest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks).

Favors Under

O.G. Anunoby has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's accumulated overall this season on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
While on the road, the Hawks have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game this year when the Atlanta Hawks are the visiting team (11th-least in the NBA).