OG Anunoby Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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OG Anunoby

NBA · Player Props

OG Anunoby

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:31 PM EST

Analysis

OG Anunoby Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

OG Anunoby has made 52.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 14.5% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
OG Anunoby has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile.
The matchup against the Celtics is a good one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have posted the 26th-highest three rate in the league this year (37.2%).
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

OG Anunoby has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.7 foul shots per game this year (13th-least in the league).
OG Anunoby will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces player performance across the board.

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