OG Anunoby Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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OG Anunoby

NBA · Player Props

OG Anunoby

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 11:27 PM EST

Analysis

OG Anunoby Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

OG Anunoby has made 57.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 20.2% higher than he's made overall this season.
OG Anunoby has averaged 35.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
OG Anunoby has successfully made 93.2% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 8.2% more than he's converted overall this year.

Favors Under

OG Anunoby has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (94th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. Miami is a challenging one for shot attempts from the field; when the Heat are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 6th-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.6).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Raptors.

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