OG Anunoby Points - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

OG Anunoby

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 18, 2023

Updated Mar 18, 2023 1:21 PM EST

Analysis

OG Anunoby Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

OG Anunoby has sunk 46.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 10.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year at home.
OG Anunoby has averaged 34.6 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 26th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.5).
The Timberwolves have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which should lead to more plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

OG Anunoby has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (93rd percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have been the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-least in the NBA).