OG Anunoby Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

NBA · Player Props

OG Anunoby

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

OG Anunoby Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

OG Anunoby has successfully made 46.6% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 10.6% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while playing at home.
OG Anunoby has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a positive one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most threes per game in the league this year (2.2).
The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

OG Anunoby has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (93rd percentile).
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
On the road, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 1.7 free throws per game this year when the Thunder are the visiting team (15th-least in the league).