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OG Anunoby

OG Anunoby Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets

OG Anunoby Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

OG Anunoby has converted 46.6% of his treys over the last 10 games at home, 10.6% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season while playing at home.

OG Anunoby has played 34.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Raptors.

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

OG Anunoby has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (93rd percentile).

The Toronto Raptors have been the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage in terms of 3-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.0).

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. Denver may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Nuggets are away from home (7th-least in the NBA).

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