OG Anunoby Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

NBA · Player Props

OG Anunoby

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 10:32 PM EST

Analysis

OG Anunoby Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

OG Anunoby has sunk 52.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 7.2% more than he's sunk overall this season when playing away from home.
OG Anunoby has tallied 35.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 98th percentile.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more opportunities for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
While at home, the Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

OG Anunoby has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.2).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Denver may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Nuggets are at home (11th-least in the NBA).