Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2025

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 15, 2025

Updated Dec 16, 2025 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to shooting, the Raptors's excellent 49.0% field goal rate while on the road rates 5th-most in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Heat, creating a positive matchup.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
The matchup against Miami is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.4 foul shots per game this year when the Heat have the home court advantage (9th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The 5th-most sluggish pace road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Raptors grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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