Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 2.3 clip, Ochai Agbaji's shots converted have risen this year to 4.0 per game.
In contrast to last year's 21.0 clip, Ochai Agbaji's playing time has surged this year to 27.0 minutes per game.
The Raptors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-fastest tempo away team in the league over the last 15 games (the Spurs).
The Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a difficult one; when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting squad, they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (8.6).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting SFs vs. Devin Vassell has been remarkably low this year (2.1 foul shot attempts per game: 7th percentile).

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