Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2025

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 20, 2025

Updated Mar 21, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ochai Agbaji has converted 66.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 26.2% more than he's made in all games this season.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Raptors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ochai Agbaji has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 34.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (6th-most in the league) against the Warriors, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Toronto Raptors's unimpressive 110.5 points per game measures as the 5th-lowest in the league over the last 20 games.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 38.4% on shots from the field (2nd-worst in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, branding this as a hard matchup.
The Raptors are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from facing the 7th-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).
Ochai Agbaji will likely see a decline in output for all stats considering playing away from home in this game.

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