Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 2:14 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ochai Agbaji has made 66.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 26.2% more than he's made from downtown overall this season.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have averaged 1.9 3-pointers per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the league with 15.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Ochai Agbaji has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 34.3% more than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Suns have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Raptors.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
Ochai Agbaji figures to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

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