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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2024

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ochai Agbaji has attempted 11.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Ochai Agbaji rates in the 80th percentile for three-point efficiency with a stellar 39.9% rate this year.

Ochai Agbaji has tallied 31.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.

The Raptors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of offense, the Toronto Raptors's unimpressive 106.3 points per game away from home settles in as the 8th-weakest in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup against New York is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the New York Knicks have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (18.6%).

The Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Raptors.

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Knicks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Ochai Agbaji ought to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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