Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ochai Agbaji has converted 55.8% of his field goals while on his home court this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Ochai Agbaji has successfully made 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji measures in the 81st percentile for playing time, posting a massive 31.8 minutes per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games as the home team.
The Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court this year in regard to three-point attempts.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have logged 11.0 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Toronto Raptors will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 7th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

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