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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 11/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ochai Agbaji has converted 53.1% of his shots from the field while on the road this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Ochai Agbaji has tallied 31.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 78th percentile.

This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on three-pointers (highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out best in in the NBA with 14.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Ochai Agbaji has converted 83.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season while playing on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to offense, the Raptors's lackluster 107.6 points per game measures as the 6th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Raptors.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Toronto Raptors.

The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Ochai Agbaji ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats considering being on the road in this contest.

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