Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2024

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 21, 2024

Updated Nov 22, 2024 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-102/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji slots into the 86th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a phenomenal 55.7% rate this year.
Ochai Agbaji has averaged 31.3 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The 7th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the NBA while at home with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Minnesota Timberwolves are away from home (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Ochai Agbaji has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (89th percentile).
In regard to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Raptors.
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Raptors are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the league this year (the Timberwolves).
Ochai Agbaji has sunk 64.8% of his foul shots this year, placing him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA.

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