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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Toronto Raptors

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ochai Agbaji has made an impressive 62.0% of his shots from the field this season, a big improvement over his 41.7 mark last season.

The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one for scoring; opposing starting PFs have posted the 6th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (52.6%).

The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Raptors will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 10th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).

The Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors.

Out of all players in the NBA, Ochai Agbaji rates in the 24th percentile for foul-shot efficiency with a subpar 61.1% rate this year.

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Ochai Agbaji will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player production in all stat categories.

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