Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ochai Agbaji has made 2.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ochai Agbaji has converted 57.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 5.9% lower than he's sunk in all games this season.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7).
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Ochai Agbaji ought to see a decline in production in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

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