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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2024

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-121/-113).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ochai Agbaji has averaged 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 10.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) against the Heat, marking this as a good matchup.

The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Toronto Raptors.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ochai Agbaji has attempted a measly 2.7 3-point shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 3.9 mark last year.

Ochai Agbaji has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season.

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.

In contrast to last year's 75.7% mark, Ochai Agbaji's foul-shot ability has tailed off this year to 64.3%.

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