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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Ochai Agbaji has played 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.6 more than he's played over the course of the season.
  • The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one for field goals; opposing starting PFs have put up the 6th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (52.6%).
  • The fastest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
  • The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).
  • Ochai Agbaji should get a boost in production in all facets of the game considering possessing the home court advantage in this game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Ochai Agbaji has failed to convert 4.7 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's missed overall this year.
  • Ochai Agbaji has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.
  • The Toronto Raptors check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • Among all players in the NBA, Ochai Agbaji comes in at the 19th percentile for free-throw effectiveness with an unimpressive 65.7% rate this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Kings may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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