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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2024

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ochai Agbaji has played 27.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's played in all games this season.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 49.9% on field goal attempts (10th-highest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, making this a good matchup.

The Raptors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Raptors rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Orlando is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.4 free throws per game this year when the Magic have the home court advantage (5th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 3.9 rate, Ochai Agbaji's 3-point attempts have tailed off this year to 2.7 per game.

Ochai Agbaji has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

The Toronto Raptors have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point shots.

The Magic have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Toronto Raptors.

Relative to last season's 75.7% mark, Ochai Agbaji's foul-shot performance has diminished this season to 65.7%.

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