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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 3/9/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Toronto Raptors

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ochai Agbaji has converted 45.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 11.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season when playing away from home.

The fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 8.4 field goal attempts per game (30th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, marking this as a difficult matchup.

The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Trail Blazers).

Compared to last season's 75.7% clip, Ochai Agbaji's free-throw efficiency has diminished this season to 67.7%.

As a team, the Raptors have been lousy at drawing fouls in recent games: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home, averaging a measly 15.8 free throw attempts per game.

Ochai Agbaji will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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