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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ochai Agbaji has attempted 7.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

The speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 13thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have brought down 9.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (losing possessions that could otherwise spark bonus chances for offense).

The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 19 games when the New Orleans Pelicans are on the road (23rd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to threes, the Raptors's lackluster 10.8 sunk threes per game while on their home court measures as the weakest in the league this year.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 9.1 field goal attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, creating a tough matchup.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should reduce opportunities for the Raptors.

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