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Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Ochai Agbaji has made 55.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 16.8% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year without the home court advantage.Ochai Agbaji has accumulated a lowly 1.0 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 1.7 fouls per game last season.The Utah Jazz have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 15thbest in in the league while at home with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.With the home court advantage, the Grizzlies have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (7.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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As it relates to shooting, the Jazz's poor 107.9 points per game comes in as the 7th-weakest in the NBA this year.This year, opposing squads have totaled 15.1 threes per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, designating this as a strong matchup.The Utah Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).Ochai Agbaji has successfully made a mere 0.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 75.0 rate last year.This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting squad, opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 25.1 foul shots per game this year (6th-most in the NBA).
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