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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jazz have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league on the road this year.

The Utah Jazz have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Phoenix Suns is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.5 foul shots per game since the start of last season (26th-most in the NBA).

Ochai Agbaji will likely see a spike in productivity across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 42.2% clip, Ochai Agbaji's field goal efficiency has tailed off this season to 35.2%.

Ochai Agbaji has been on the court for 16.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 14th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Suns is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have put up the 13th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (43.4%).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Utah Jazz.

The Suns have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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