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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji slots into the 14th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a mere 1.3 fouls per game this year.

The 4th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Utah Jazz.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 15thbest in in the league away from their home court with 14.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have come down with 9.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ochai Agbaji has converted a mere 35.8% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 42.2 rate last season.

Relative to last year's 20.0 rate, Ochai Agbaji's playing time has declined this year to 15.7 minutes per game.

The matchup vs. Portland is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Trail Blazers are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have shot for the 12th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (30.3%).

Ochai Agbaji has sunk just 0.0% of his free throws this season, quite a bit less than his 75.7 mark last season.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, making it tough to draw fouls.

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