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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 11/10/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ochai Agbaji has been called for a lowly 0.6 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 1.7 fouls per game last season.

Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have registered 15.9 points per game (22nd-highest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, making this a strong matchup for offensive productivity.

The 6th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz.

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should increase opportunities for the Jazz.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 1stbest in in the league with 15.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 44.3% mark, Ochai Agbaji's scoring prowess has regressed this year to 25.3%.

Ochai Agbaji has tallied a measly 14.1 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 20.0 minutes per game last season.

When it comes to scoring, the Jazz's feeble 106.4 points per game rates 7th-worst in the league this year.

Ochai Agbaji has made a lowly 0.0% of his free throws this year, significantly lower than his 75.7 rate last year.

Ochai Agbaji should suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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