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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Utah Jazz

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ochai Agbaji has been called for a mere 0.8 personal fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 1.7 fouls per game last season.

The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).

The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (24th-most in the league) against the Pacers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 44.3% mark, Ochai Agbaji's field goal effectiveness has tailed off this year to 23.3%.

Ochai Agbaji has averaged a measly 12.8 minutes per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 20.0 minutes per game last season.

The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.

The matchup against Indiana is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Pacers are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (4.3).

The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

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