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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Utah Jazz

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ochai Agbaji has attempted 16.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 10.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Ochai Agbaji has attempted 8.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Ochai Agbaji has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

The matchup against the Lakers is a strong one for field goals; opposing starting SGs have put up the 27th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (47.0%).

The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lakers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 7 games at home, which should lead to decreased plays for the Jazz.

Playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Utah Jazz have been poor at drawing fouls while playing away from home: 7th-worst in the league this year, tallying just 21.6 free throws per game.

The matchup against the Lakers is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.8 foul shots per game this year (9th-least in the league).

Ochai Agbaji will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production for all stats.

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