Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Kings is a strong one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have put up the 28th-highest three percentage in the league this year (38.5%).
The Kings have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While playing on the road, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Sacramento may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Kings are the visiting team (13th-least in the league).

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