Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Oklahoma is a good one; when the Thunder have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (18.0).
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.6 foul shots per game this year when the Thunder have the home court advantage (25th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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