Ochai Agbaji Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 12:50 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Ochai Agbaji places in the 77th percentile for three-point efficiency with a phenomenal 38.6% rate this year.
Relative to last year's 21.0 mark, Ochai Agbaji's playing time has increased this year to 30.7 minutes per game.
The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Raptors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Raptors rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 3.0 three attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, identifying this as a tough matchup.
Ochai Agbaji will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

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