Ochai Agbaji Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-204).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -204.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ochai Agbaji has played 31.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors.
The matchup against New Orleans is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 5th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.4).
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Toronto Raptors will likely experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
Ochai Agbaji will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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