Obi Toppin Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-137/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +109 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has compiled an impressive 1.0 offensive boards per game this season, a big improvement over his 0.5 offensive boards per game last season.
The Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Pacers are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Wizards).

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 1.0 mark, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 3.0.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (preserving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).
Obi Toppin should suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

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