Obi Toppin Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 14.9 rate, Obi Toppin's playing time has surged this year to 27.7 minutes per game.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Indiana Pacers.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 1.0 rate, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 2.9.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Obi Toppin stands to suffer a reduction in production for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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