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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Obi Toppin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Obi Toppin has tallied a whopping 0.9 offensive boards per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.5 offensive boards per game last season.
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league when playing at home this year.
  • The Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
  • This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 9.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • Obi Toppin will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player performance for all stats.

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