Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 5/27/2025

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks · May 27, 2025

Updated May 27, 2025 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Obi Toppin comes in at the 81st percentile for scoring ability at home with a phenomenal 52.3% rate this year.
In terms of scoring, the Indiana Pacers's impressive 119.0 points per game places strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pacers have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the league this year.
Obi Toppin stands to get a boost in efficiency across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Obi Toppin has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.
The Pacers will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo away team in the league this year (the Knicks).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Obi Toppin has missed 0.8 foul shot attempts per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.4 higher than he's missed overall this year while playing at home.

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