Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has made 5.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Obi Toppin has successfully made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's converted from three in all games this season while on the road.
The Pacers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pacers.

Favors Under

The Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Heat).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game this year.
Obi Toppin will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

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