Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2025

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 16, 2025

Updated Jan 17, 2025 4:59 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has successfully made 38.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 10.3% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year away from his home court.
With respect to offense, the Pacers's stellar 117.0 points per game ranks 6th-most in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The Pacers are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Detroit Pistons).
Obi Toppin has successfully made 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made overall this season away from home.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Obi Toppin will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance for all stats.

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