Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2025

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 2, 2025

Updated Jan 3, 2025 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has made 54.4% of his field goals while on the road this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.
With respect to offense, the Indiana Pacers's remarkable 115.6 points per game ranks 8th-most in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pacers have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Obi Toppin has made 25.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc while on the road this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile among all players in the league.
The Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Miami Heat).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Obi Toppin ought to experience a decrease in output across the board considering being on the road in this game.

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