Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat · Nov 15, 2024

Updated Nov 16, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has sunk 53.9% of his field goals at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.
Obi Toppin will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 37.9% mark, Obi Toppin's 3-point prowess has been reduced this year to 22.6%.
The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pacers.
The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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