Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 5/21/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers · May 21, 2024

Updated May 22, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has made 56.2% of his field goals when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Pacers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 10.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Obi Toppin has made 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's sunk overall this season away from his home court.

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Pacers.
Obi Toppin ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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