Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks · May 12, 2024

Updated May 12, 2024 6:11 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has converted 59.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 6.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season playing at home.
Obi Toppin has attempted 4.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Obi Toppin has tallied an impressive 21.0 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 15.7 minutes per game last season.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
Obi Toppin should see a rise in efficiency across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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