Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks · May 10, 2024

Updated May 10, 2024 10:17 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has made 63.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 8.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year on his home court.
Obi Toppin has successfully made 2.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
Compared to last year's 15.7 clip, Obi Toppin's playing time has spiked this year to 21.0 minutes per game.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
Obi Toppin will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The 10th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Knicks).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 8thworst in in the league when playing at home with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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