Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 30, 2024

Updated May 1, 2024 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has made 62.7% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.0% more than he's made over the course of the season.
Obi Toppin has attempted 4.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.
The Pacers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
With respect to drawing fouls, the Indiana Pacers's feeble 18.6 foul shots per game measures as the 6th-worst in the league over the last 20 games.
Obi Toppin is expected to suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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