Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 21, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has converted 68.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 12.3% more than he's made overall this season.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Obi Toppin has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been poor at getting to the free-throw line of late: 5th-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games with a mere 17.7 free throw attempts per game.
Obi Toppin is expected to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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