Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has made 59.4% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 20.3% more than he's made overall this season.
The Pacers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA this year.
The Raptors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Obi Toppin has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 25.1% more than he's put through the net overall this year while playing away from home.

Favors Under

As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls in recent days: 5th-worst in the league over the last 5 games, averaging a lowly 16.8 foul shot attempts per game.
Obi Toppin will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player performance across the board.

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