Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 9:36 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has sunk 76.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 20.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Obi Toppin has successfully made 56.7% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 18.1% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.
Compared to last year's 15.7 rate, Obi Toppin's playing time has risen this year to 21.4 minutes per game.
The Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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