Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has made 54.6% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Obi Toppin has averaged a whopping 21.8 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 15.7 minutes per game last year.
In regard to offense, the Pacers's outstanding 122.6 points per game settles in as the strongest in the league this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Pacers.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 7thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Obi Toppin figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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