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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 3/18/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 42.0% mark, Obi Toppin's scoring ability has surged this season to 54.4%.

Compared to last year's 15.7 rate, Obi Toppin's playing time has surged this year to 21.8 minutes per game.

The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Obi Toppin has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 18.5% more than he's made in all games this season while at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 1.0 clip, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 1.8.

The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Cavaliers).

As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 7th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a lowly 20.8 free throws per game.

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